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Democrats Florida Truth

Florida Democratic Party Is In Meltdown Mode After Election Rout

By Rod Thomson

No less a non-conservative authority than Politico has labeled the Florida Democratic Party in “post-election meltdown” after a complete beatdown by the Florida GOP in the Nov. 3 election. It’s so bad that Democrats are seriously worried that Florida has become a permanently red state.

Politico led their story this way:

“It wasn’t just one bad cycle. For Democrats in Florida, Election Day 2020 was a tipping point in a long, painful buildup to irrelevancy. After suffering crushing losses from the top of the ballot down, the state party now is mired in a civil war that could have profound consequences for future elections.”

That does not overstate it. In a year when Democrats had hoped to pick up 5-10 seats in the Florida House and three seats in the Senate and maybe flip the Florida statehouse for the first time in 20 years with the help of tens of millions of dollars poured in from outside Florida, the exact opposite happened. Florida Republicans expanded their state Senate majority by one seat and our state House majority by five seats while also flipping two Congressional seats and giving President Trump a four times larger margin of victory than he had in 2016.

Tellingly, Miami-Dade County led the dramatic flip. Hillary Clinton won the county by almost 300,000 votes in 2016, Joe Biden won it by only 85,000 — just 7 percent compared to Clinton’s 29 percent margin. That’s also where the two Congressional seats were located. But all of this is only continuing the reddening of Florida.

Florida Democrats in the 1980s had a nearly one-million voter registration lead. When Barack Obama won Florida in 2008, their voter registration lead was still nearly 500,000. When President Donald Trump was elected in 2016, Democrats’ lead had narrowed to 327,000. During the 2018 midterms, the Democrat gap was down to 263,000 and by the Nov. 3 election this year, Republicans had narrowed that gap to 134,000 registered voters.

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The gains have not been just the red areas getting redder than the blue areas got blue. It’s all areas getting redder. In most major urban counties, Republicans continue to close the gap, albeit slowly. Pinellas County, where St. Pete is located and the Tampa Bay Rays play, flipped to a GOP-majority county three years ago and now has an 11,000-voter registration advantage. Gaps were closed in Hillsborough (Tampa), Seminole Orange (Orlando) Miami-Dade and West Palm Beach, also. And more than 20 mostly rural counties have flipped from blue to red in the past decade. 

Republican Party of Florida Chairman Joe Gruters has successfully made voter registration one of his top priorities. It continues to pay off as most observers give the Florida GOP the chance to finally and for the first time ever become the majority party in the state by voter registration. Given Republicans’ higher voter turnout rates, that’s an even bigger problem for Democrats.

The idea that Florida could become — or has become — a huge, electoral-rich red state like Texas to counterbalance California and New York in that column for team blue, gives national Democrats heartburn. If Florida is not a 50-50 swing state, that increases the must-win states for Democrats, narrowing the path each election cycle.

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For Florida Democrats, staring down the barrel of permanent minority status, it is a near-existential crisis in which they now enter a fight for identity. It’s worth watching because the Democrat Party in Florida mirrors Democrats nationally — in large part because Florida attracts people from all over the U.S. and — for better or worse — they bring their politics to the Sunshine State.

From the AOC-Socialist wing to the moderate wing represented by state Sen. Jason Pizzo, who said in frustration after the election, “I’m not a f—ing socialist.” The angst is palpable as recriminations for Nov. 3 fly and there is no clear Democratic leader in the state. Florida Democratic Party Chair Terrie Rizzo is dead in the water, but interestingly, until just Tuesday when former Miami Mayor Manny Diaz jumped in with Michael Bloomberg’s support, no one had thrown their hat in the ring. That no one was itching to do so, simply reveals more of the disarray.

All of which continues to strengthen Florida Republicans. Gruters and Governor Ron DeSantis will push to overtake the Democrats in registration in time for DeSantis’ re-election in 2022.

Rod Thomson is an author, former journalist, past Salem radio host, ABC TV commentator and is Founder of The Revolutionary Act. Like Rod on Facebook.


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Elections Florida Politics Truth

Florida Data, Not Polls, Points To Trump Victory

By Rod Thomson

The polls are the polls and no one other than the paid pollsters with obvious vested interests can tell you if they are accurate. They suggest Trump is down a couple of percentage points in Florida. That is highly doubtful for several concrete, number-driven reasons.

First, let’s understand the difference between polls and other data. The best polls ask registered voters who voted in the last two elections — labeling them likely voters — who they will vote for this year. In 2016, pollsters missed a few percentage points of Trump voters because those voters lied to them, unwilling to tell a stranger they were voting for Trump. That phenomenon is assuredly more in play this year considering the societal travails of being a Trump supporter in many parts of the country. 

And Republicans in Florida and elsewhere have seen dramatically higher voter registration totals than Democrats since 2016, which means they are not showing up in those polls. Neither of these polling shortcomings are the fault of nefarious pollsters. Oversampling Democrats, however, is on pollsters and still seems to happen too often.

So polling numbers are squishy, malleable and missing important data. On the other hand, here are some concrete data points to consider that color a different picture.

Each week for the past several weeks, Republican volunteers knocked on three million doors and made one million phone calls to Floridians. (Side note: Democrats pay a lot of volunteers on a weekly basis, calling them the oxymoron “paid volunteers.” Republicans do not.) This election cycle alone, Florida Republican and Trump Victory volunteers have made more than 22 million voter contacts in Florida alone. They also held more than 55,000 events and mobilized tens of thousands of volunteers. This counters the Democrats’ monetary advantage for smothering ad buys — which is what the media is focusing on. Naturally. But human contact is proven to be the most effective.

Republicans have signed up something like half a million new voters since 2016 in Florida, lowering the Democrats once large voter advantage to less than one percent, and dwindling. Democrats held a voter registration advantage nearing 500,000 voters in 2016. That is now below 130,000 and continuing to drop.

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In the past five years, Florida Republicans have flipped 21 counties from blue to red via voter registration rolls. These were mostly rural counties, but not all. Pinellas County, which is home to St. Pete and the Tampa Bay Rays has one million residents as part of Tampa Bay, also saw Republicans pass Democrats in voter registration.

These voter registration efforts since 2016 have been a roaring success across the state, with Republicans beating Democrats in new registrations in even the large metro counties of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties (Tampa Bay) and Orange and Seminole counties (Orlando.) And amazingly, Republicans almost tripled the number of newly registered voters in Miami-Dade over newly registered Democrats. 

This is not strictly a data point, but the largest Florida county has an incredible diversity of voters in its Hispanic community. It’s not just the conservative Cuban community, but Venezuelans, Guatamalens and Hondurans also trend more Republican because they come from failed socialist countries. The black community is also more diverse with the Caribbean influence, particularly Haitians who are much more conservative than traditional American blacks.  

When you take this hard data just on face value, it suggests a different picture than the polls. But even with those, remember that all of the recent ones have the race even when considering the margin of error.

Rod Thomson is an author, former journalist, past Salem radio host in Tampa, Fla,, ABC TV commentator and is Founder of The Revolutionary Act. Like Rod on Facebook.


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Elections Florida Truth

Democrats’ Dream Of Turning Florida Blue Is Fading To Red

Rod Thomson

There has been a considerable amount of gleeful, even hopeful, reporting nationally that Florida is about to become a blue state, shedding the status of the largest swing state and sliding into the blue column.  

A few events were pointed to hungrily as evidence for this inevitability: the wave of Puerto Ricans moving to Florida after the devastation of Hurricane Maria was going to balloon the Democrat voter count by hundreds of thousands as they are American citizens and can vote; Amendment 4, the felon voting amendment passed by voters that automatically reinstates voting rights for those who served their time would also adds thousands to Democrats because everyone knows criminals vote for Democrats in much higher percentages; and of course President Trump’s unpopularity was tainting the GOP brand far into the future.

Well not so fast. It appears that, like clockwork, the media mistook their fondest hopes for actual reality.

The 2019 voter data is in, and it doesn’t look good for the Democrats or their media. More than 663,000 voters have registered since the 2018 midterms, and they broke evenly between Republicans and Democrats. That includes the felons and the Puerto Ricans. But, when you factor in voters who switched parties or who are no longer active on the rolls, Republicans actually gained a modest 22,000 voters on Democrats. In a state with such tight statewide elections regularly, it matters.

This actually continues a trend. After the 2014 midterms, Republicans gained 129,000 voters on the Democrats. And after the 2010 midterms, they gained 74,000 voters.

This is all the more significant in that Republicans vote in higher percentages than Democrats. This is why Florida is a swing state in presidential elections, but has a majority of Republicans in Congress and the state Legislature — despite the fact that about 37 percent of voters are registered as Democrats, while 35 percent as Republicans. 

Republicans have been closing the gap for many years now. As the Jacksonville Times-Union reports: “Democrats’ voter registration advantage over Republicans is slimmer than it was in 2018 or 2016, when Republicans won the state, and it’s significantly slimmer than in 2012 and 2008.”

The only wild card in this data pool is that No-Party Affiliation candidates in Florida continue to grow the fastest, outpacing both Republicans and Democrats.

But again, because of voter turnout — highest among GOP voters — the trend is positive for 2020 and beyond at this point.

So while Democrats and the media dream of creating another giant blue state to go with California and New York, it looks more like Florida may be becoming a red state, or red-purple.

Rod Thomson is an author, past Salem radio host, ABC TV commentator, former journalist and is Founder of The Revolutionary Act. 


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ACLU Florida Truth

TDS Outbreak: ACLU Issues Florida ‘Travel Alert’ After Sanctuary Cities Ban

Rod Thomson

Is there a leftist organization that has not gone nutty as a fruitcake in the Age of Trump?

The latest to evince TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome) is the American Civil Liberties Union. The group has always been well left of center and trending further left. They’ve long not been fans of protecting, say, religious liberties when conflicting with the gay agenda.

But their reaction to Florida’s strong, new anti-sanctuary cities law is just precious in its nuttiness. It doesn’t even really attempt to make a legal or ethical case.

For Florida Republicans and Gov. Ron DeSantis, it’s simply a promise made and a promise kept. He tweeted:

“Earlier this year, I made a promise that we would ban sanctuary cities in Florida and today we are delivering on that promise. I am proud to sign the bill presented to me by the FL Legislature to uphold the rule of law and ensure that our communities are safe.”

First, the ACLU of Florida issued a “travel advisory” regarding Florida following the enactment of the law when Gov. Ron DeSantis signed it last week. A travel advisory! Like, don’t travel to Venezuela or North Korea. If you travel to those countries, you may be killed. If you travel to Florida…they may follow federal law? They might cooperate with Immigration and Customs Enforcement officials? Alert!

But that was not the full extent of their radical response to a law that shouldn’t even be necessary except that the American left has tipped off a cliff.

Here’s the tweet that the national ACLU sent out regarding Florida following the law regarding cooperating with immigration authorities:

“Today, Gov. DeSantis signed the un-American SB 168 bill into law, a reckless expansion of state government and an affront to the democratic values we share. The law is anti-immigrant, unconstitutional, inhumane, and hurts our families and communities.”

Remember, this bill merely says that municipalities have to work with federal immigration authorities to enforce federal law. For 90 percent of American history it was a given that would be the case (excluding the Civil War, but kind of a different thing there.)

But now we need laws telling Democrat-run municipalities they are not allowed to openly disobey federal law. It’s still a little hard to imagine this is necessary, let alone that it could ever be controversial.

But now it’s unconstitutional? It’s unconstitutional to require that federal law be followed? It’s anti-immigrant to say that local authorities can’t shelter people living here illegally who have been arrested for a different crime? It hurts “our” families and communities to follow the law? It’s inhumane?!?!

It’s impossible to take the ACLU seriously anymore with such wild hyperbole. Too bad. Because I personally know there are at least a few reasonable people in the Florida ACLU who have tried to keep the organization from going full-blown radical partisan.

Obviously they’ve lost the battle.

Just go ahead and categorize the ACLU with the Southern Poverty Law Center and so many other groups that played some sort of honest roll at one point, but are now just Democratic Party hacks.

Rod Thomson is an author, past Salem radio host, ABC TV commentator, former journalist and is Founder of The Revolutionary Act.


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Elections Florida Truth

Florida Stiffens Election Security In Run-Up To 2020

Rod Thomson

As President Trump kicks off his reelection campaign tonight in Orlando with somewhere between 70,000 and 100,000 people, Gov. Ron DeSantis is announcing that Florida is spending more money on securing its voting systems across 67 counties.

As the largest swing state, and one which twice now decided the presidency in very close elections with questionable voting systems — including those ripe for tampering in places like Broward and Palm Beach counties — DeSantis is moving $2.3 million toward election security. The money comes from a large federal grant of $19 million that was provided last year to protect from cyber security attacks.

DeSantis met with FBI officials last month and they confirmed that Russian hackers had broken in and gained access to voter data in two Florida counties during the 2016 election, but that the results had not been manipulated.

“As I’ve said previously, the issue of cyber is not going away,” DeSantis said. “We want to make sure they have resources, so we’re taking the issue seriously … we’ve got 67 different elections that are run and not every county has the same amount of resources.”

Further, Florida lawmakers also approved $2.8 million for more election security in the state budget that DeSantis will likely sign this week — bringing the total to more than $5 million before the 2020 presidential votes are cast.

This is relevant for many reasons. Conservatives always fear shenanigans in the big, Democrat-run counties of Southeastern Florida because it has happened repeatedly. But also, the reality is that Russia, China and Iran have incentives to meddle in the election to defeat Trump.

His Make America Great Again, America First doctrine has clearly resulted in substantial pushback on the ambitions of Russia, China and Iran in regional and global hegemony. Any Democrat in the field will go much easier on all three of them, just as President Obama did. They are fully aware of that.

Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s report earlier this year on Russian interference identified “spearfishing” emails that were sent to more than 120 email accounts connected to Florida election officials, plus employees of election technology vendors, before the 2016 election. The goal of those is to gain access by getting just one person to click on an attachment, which can then plant software that allows a backdoor for hackers.

It’s no surprise that of all the states, it was Florida’s election system targeted and successfully hacked. While there is no partisanship in DeSantis’ moves to beef up security, it undoubtedly redounds to Trump’s benefit as he has the most to lose in an election hacked by foreign entities or diddled with by local election officials.

Rod Thomson is an author, past Salem radio host, ABC TV commentator, former journalist and is Founder of The Revolutionary Act.


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